POWER FLOW PREDICTION USING RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORKS WITH L.S.T.M. AND GENETIC ALGORITHM IN AN IEEE 30 BUS SYSTEM

Authors

  • João Victor Cesario Fernandes
  • Madeleine Rocio Medrano Castillo Albertini
  • Jaqueline Oliveira Rezende
  • Marcus Vinicius Borges Mendonça
  • Paulo Henrique Oliveira Rezende
  • Fabricio Augusto Matheus Moura
  • Arnaldo Jose Pereira Rosentino Junior
  • Antonio Cesar Costa Ferreira Rosa

Keywords:

Power Flow Forecasting, LSTM, Genetic Algorithm, Active Power, Reactive Power, Smart Grids

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of active (P) and reactive (Q) power in electrical networks is fundamental to improving operational reliability and planning in modern power systems. This article proposes a forecasting model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks to estimate load demand in an IEEE 30-bus system. The model considers the active and reactive power supplied by the generators as input variables, while the power components of the loads are used as target variables for prediction. To improve performance, a Genetic Algorithm (GA) was used to optimize hyperparameters, which reduced the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and increased the accuracy of the predictions. The results demonstrate that the proposed approach provides stable predictions of load behavior, highlighting its potential for application in smart grids and microgrid management systems.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.56238/sevened2025.036-051

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Published

2025-11-18

How to Cite

Fernandes, J. V. C., Albertini, M. R. M. C., Rezende, J. O., Mendonça, M. V. B., Rezende, P. H. O., Moura, F. A. M., Rosentino Junior, A. J. P., & Rosa, A. C. C. F. (2025). POWER FLOW PREDICTION USING RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORKS WITH L.S.T.M. AND GENETIC ALGORITHM IN AN IEEE 30 BUS SYSTEM. Seven Editora, 1008-1028. https://sevenpubl.com.br/editora/article/view/8527